
ScenarioWizard 4.1 4
Fig. 6-5: Html export of Fig. 6-4. ........................................................................................................ 51
Fig. 6-6: The section „Scenario overview“ of an automatic report. .................................................... 53
Fig. 6-7: Comparing the supporting and the contradicting influences on a scenario element. ............ 54
Fig. 6-8: Continuation of .................................................................................................................... 55
Fig. 6-9: The sections „Firmness of scenario assumptions“ and „Conclusions“ of an automatic scenario
report. ...................................................................................................................................... 56
Fig. 6-10: The evaluation protocol for the consistent scenario calculation. ........................................ 58
Fig. 6-11: Options for the calculation of variant frequencies. ............................................................. 59
Fig. 6-12: Text output of the variant frequencies in the evaluation protocol. ..................................... 60
Fig. 6-13: Bar chart of the unweighted variant frequencies. Short names of descriptors and variants
are used for labelling (see section 5.3). ..................................................................................... 60
Fig. 6-14: The option “F.differences” shows the changes of variant frequencies resulting from a
modification of the cross-impact matrix. .................................................................................. 61
Fig. 6-15: Unsorted tableau of Somewhereland’s consistent scenarios. ............................................. 64
Fig. 6-16: Arranged tableau of Somewhereland’s consistent scenarios. ............................................. 64
Fig. 6-17: The window for the selection of variants. .......................................................................... 66
Fig. 6-18: The file selection window for the compilation of an ensemble. .......................................... 68
Fig. 6-19: The ensemble condition query for the selection of consistent ensemble scenarios. ........... 70
Fig. 6-20: The evaluation protocol of the menu item Analyse - Ensemble Solutions. .......................... 71
Fig. 6-21: The intersection of the consistent scenarios of ensemble members (“consensus scenario”).
................................................................................................................................................. 72
Fig. 6-22: The results of the Analyse – Statistics evaluation. .............................................................. 74
Fig. 6-23: Correlation coefficients of the “Somewhereland” scenarios. .............................................. 75
Fig. 6-24: Correlation profile of the descriptor variant „E3 Riots“. ..................................................... 76
Fig. 6-25: The influence profiles of the „Somewhereland“ descriptor variants. .................................. 78
Fig. 6-26: Bar chart of the influence profile of descriptor variant „C1 - Shrinking economy“. ............. 78
Fig. 7-1: The window “Evaluation options“. ....................................................................................... 79
Fig. 7-2: The window “Output options“. ............................................................................................ 84
Fig. 7-3: Displaying a cross-impact matrix using the format option „Sign“. ......................................... 87
Fig. 7-4: The impact balance window in case of the cross-impact format „Sign“. ............................... 88
Fig. 7-5: The options window „Descriptor type”. ............................................................................... 89
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